Open Rank Faculty Positions University of Virginia The University of Virginia seeks applicants for an Open Rank- tenure/tenure track position in the broad area of “smart cities and landscapes” as part of a cluster hire in environmental resilience being coordinated through the pan-university Environmental Resilience Institute. https://uva.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UVAJobs/job/Charlottesville-VA/Open-Rank-Faculty-Position-in-Environmental-Resilience-and-Equity_R0020593?source=HigherEdJobs Princeton University The…
Parametric Drivers of High-End Sea-Level Hazards Evolve Over Time
By Alana Hough and Tony E. Wong, Rochester Institute of Technology Climate models are critical tools for developing strategies to manage the risks posed by sea-level rise. While these models are important for improving our understanding of climate risks, there is some uncertainty that is inherent in each parameter in…
The Uncertainty Quantification and Scenario Development (UQ/SD) working group is meeting biweekly (every alternate Friday).
The current focus of the group is on wrapping up a review paper on “Uncertainty and Multisector Dynamics” to be submitted on Earth’s Future Special Issue: Modeling MultiSector Dynamics to Inform Adaptive Pathways. The deadline for the submission is on October 01, 2021. The group has completed a synthesis of…
Consider submitting an abstract to MSD session at AGU 2021!
We would like to draw your attention to MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) session at AGU21 Fall Meeting being held December 13-17, 2021 in New Orleans, LA. We welcome the abstract for session GC064 – MultiSector Dynamics: Uncertainty Characterization for Coupled Natural-Human Systems Link: https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm21/meetingapp.cgi/Session/118791 Invited speaker: Dr. Klaus Keller and Dr. Edoardo Borgomeo Abstract Deadline: August…
2021 Q1 UQ/SD Working Group Meeting
Considering Model Parameter Uncertainty in Multi-objective Robust Optimizations: Implications for Decision Making in Multi-sector Dynamical Systems Jared D. Smith,Laurence Lin, Julianne D. Quinn, and Lawrence E. Band Abstract: MultiSector Dynamics studies integrate models from environmental, economic, social and other sectors to describe system behaviors. The resulting models are complex, and…
Dynamic adaptation to climate change: framing the challenge of uncertainty characterization for human-environmental systems
By Jon Herman, UC Davis Multi-sector infrastructure systems face a number of uncertainties that are difficult to characterize and quantify. These include exogenous uncertainty in climate forcing, propagated through a chain of models and downscaling procedures; endogenous uncertainty in human-environmental system dynamics across scales; and sampling uncertainty due to the…
October UQ/SD Working Group Meeting
What: Inaugural MSD UQ/SD working group meeting. Introduction to Working Group active members. Webinar presentation by David Lafferty (UIUC) titled “Estimating crop yield variability and shocks using downscaled climate models.” When: October 2, 2020, 2PM Eastern Time. Access: Contact multisector.uncertainty@gmail.com for access details.
Can exploratory modeling of water scarcity vulnerabilities and robustness be scenario neutral?
J. D. Quinn, A. Hadjimichael, P. M. Reed, S. Steinschneider DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001650 Abstract:Planning under deep uncertainty, when probabilistic characterizations of the future are unknown, is a major challenge in water resources management. Many planning frameworks advocate for “scenario‐neutral” analyses in which alternative policies are evaluated over plausible future scenarios with…