Title: Modeling System Evolution in Complex Adaptive Systems: Applications in Waste-to-Energy and Food Production Systems
A conceptual framing of systems related to food, energy, water, and waste, as complex adaptive systems allows for exploring important questions including long-term economic viability of infrastructure under future uncertainties, and historical change and future implications of potential policy interventions. This presentation highlights a case of stochastic modeling of waste-to-energy infrastructure for planning decision support with illustrative examples of mega-cities in developing countries. A second case focuses on graph-theoretic modeling of agriculture and irrigation over long time periods encompassing changing interactions between heterogenous components. This approach is used to investigate evolution of food production in the Indus River basin since mid-20th century and implications of potential future policies.
When: March 17th, 1:00-2:15 PM ET
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