Scenario Storyline Discovery for Planning in Multi‐Actor Human‐Natural Systems Confronting Change

Antonia Hadjimichael, Patrick M. Reed, Julianne D. Quinn, Chris R. Vernon, & Travis Thurber Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004252 Abstract Scenarios have emerged as valuable tools in managing complex human-natural systems, but the traditional approach of limiting focus…

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Anthropogenic heat from buildings in Los Angeles County: A simulation framework and assessment

Yujie Xu, Pouya Vahmani, Andrew Jones, & Tianzhen Hong Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2024.105468 Abstract Anthropogenic heat (AH), i.e., waste heat from buildings to the ambient environment, increases urban air temperature and contributes to the urban heat island effect, which leads to more air-conditioning energy…

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Resilient water infrastructure partnerships in institutionally complex systems face challenging supply and financial risk tradeoffs

A. L. Hamilton, P. M. Reed, R. S. Gupta, H. B. Zeff & G. W. Characklis Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51660-8 Abstract As regions around the world invest billions in new infrastructure to overcome increasing water scarcity, better…

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Anticipating how rain-on-snow events will change through the 21st century: lessons from the 1997 new year’s flood event

Alan M. Rhoades, Colin M. Zarzycki, Benjamin J. Hatchett, Héctor Inda-Diaz, William Rudisill, Benjamin Bass, Eli Dennis, Anne Heggli, Rachel McCrary, Seth McGinnis, Mohammed Ombadi, Stefan Rahimi-Esfarjani, Emily Slinskey,Abhishekh Srivastava, Julia Szinai, Paul A. Ullrich, Michael Wehner, David Yates & Andrew D. Jones  Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07351-7 Abstract The California-Nevada 1997 New Year’s flood was an…

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Using Financial Contracts to Facilitate Informal Leases Within a Western United States Water Market Based on Prior Appropriation

Harrison Zeff, Antonia Hadjimichael, Patrick M. Reed, Gregory W. Characklis Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003739 Abstract The ability to reallocate water to higher-value uses during drought is an increasingly important “soft-path” tool for managing water resources in an uncertain future. In…

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Persistent urban heat

Dan Li, Linying Wang, Weilin Liao, Ting Sun, Gabriel Katul, Elie Bou-Zeid and Björn Maronga  Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adj7398 Abstract Urban surface and near-surface air temperatures are known to be often higher than their rural counterparts, a phenomenon now labeled as the urban heat island effect. However, whether the elevated…

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Amplified Extreme Floods and Shifting Flood Mechanisms in the Delaware River Basin in Future Climates

Ning Sun, Mark S. Wigmosta, Hongxiang Yan, Hisham Eldardiry, Zhaoqing Yang, Mithun Deb, Taiping Wang, and David Judi  Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: yes DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003868 Abstract Historical records in the Delaware River Basin reveal complex and spatially diverse flood generating mechanisms influenced by the region’s mountains-to-plains gradients….

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Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance

Katharine J. Mach, Kripa Jagannathan, Linda Shi, Lynée L. Turek-Hankins, Jeffrey R. Arnold, Christa Brelsford, Alejandro N. Flores, Jing Gao, Carlos E. Martín, David L. McCollum, Richard Moss, Jennifer Niemann, Brenda Rashleigh, and Patrick M. Reed Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: no DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF004392 Abstract Climate impacts increasingly unfold in interlinked systems of people, nature,…

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The Essential Role of Local Context in Shaping Risk and Risk Reduction Strategies for Snowmelt-Dependent Irrigated Agriculture

Beatrice L. Gordon, Gabrielle F. S. Boisrame, Rosemary W. H. Carroll, Newsha K. Ajami, Bryan Leonard, Christine Albano, Naoki Mizukami, Manuel A. Andrade, Elizabeth Koebele, Michael H. Taylor, and Adrian A. Harpold Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: no DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004577 Abstract Climate change-induced shifts in snow storage and snowmelt patterns pose risks…

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An Integrated Assessment Approach for Socio-Economic Implications of the Desert Locust in Eastern Africa

Bonoukpoè Mawuko Sokame, Komi Mensah Agboka, Emily Kimathi, Bester Tawona Mudereri, Elfatih M. Abdel-Rahman, Tobias Landmann, Mwesigwa Moses Rwaheru, Osman Abdalla, Moses M. Mafabi, Louis Mitondo Lubango, and Henri E. Z. Tonnang Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: no DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003841 Abstract Desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria) infestations cause significant damage to crops and pastureland,…

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