John T. Fasullo, Julie M. Caron, Adam Phillips, Hui Li, Jadwiga H. Richter, Richard B. Neale, Nan Rosenbloom, Gary Strand, Sasha Glanville, Yuanpu Li, Flavio Lehner, Gerald Meehl, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Paul Ullrich, Jiwoo Lee, and Julie Arblaster Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged…
Climate policy and the SDGs agenda: how does near-term action on nexus SDGs influence the achievement of long-term climate goals?
Isabela Schmidt Tagomori, Mathijs Harmsen, Muhammad Awais, Edward Byers, Vassilis Daioglou, Jonathan Doelman, Adriano Vinca, Keywan Riahi, and Detlef P van Vuuren DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3973 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: No Abstract The sustainable development goals (SDGs) represent the global ambition to…
Compounding Uncertainties in Economic and Population Growth Increase Tail Risks for Relevant Outcomes Across Sectors
Franklyn Kanyako, Jonathan Lamontagne, Abigail Snyder, Jennifer Morris, Gokul Iyer, Flannery Dolan, Yang Ou, & Kenneth Cox DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003930 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: Yes, Multisector Dynamics Abstract Understanding the long-term effects of population and GDP changes requires a multisectoral and regional understanding of the coupled human-Earth system,…
Enhancing the representation of water management in global hydrological models
Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu, Fuqiang Tian, Thomas Wild, Mengqi Zhao, Sean Turner, A. F. M. Kamal Chowdhury, Chris R. Vernon, Hongchang Hu, Yuan Zhuang, Mohamad Hejazi, and Hong-Yi Li DOI: doi:10.5194/gmd-16-5449-2023 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: YES – Earth System Model Development…
Representing farmer irrigated crop area adaptation in a large-scale hydrological model
Jim Yoon, Nathalie Voisin, Christian Klassert, Travis Thurber, and Wenwei Xu DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-899-2024 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: Yes, Multisector Dynamics Abstract Large-scale hydrological models (LHMs) are commonly used for regional and global assessment of future water shortage outcomes under climate and socioeconomic scenarios. The irrigation of…
Air-sea coupling influence on projected changes in major Atlantic hurricane events
Derrick K. Danso, Christina M. Patricola, Jaison Kurian, Ping Chang, Philip Klotzbach, and I. -I. Lin DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100649 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: YES – Regional and Global Model Analysis Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) projections with atmosphere-only models are associated with…
Agricultural market integration preserves future global water resources
Neal T. Graham, Gokul Iyer, Thomas B. Wild, Flannery Dolan, Jonathan Lamontagne, & Katherine Calvin DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2023.08.003 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: Yes, Multisector Dynamics Abstract Traded agricultural goods redistribute water, virtually, around the world to satisfy unmet demands while limiting excess water extraction in importing regions. However, gaps remain in our…
Urban land patterns can moderate population exposures to climate extremes over the 21st century
Jing Gao & Melissa S. Bukovsky DOI : https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42084-x Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: YES (Multisector Dynamics, Regional & Global Model Analysis) Abstract Climate change and global urbanization have often been anticipated to increase future population exposure (frequency and intensity) to…
Dynamic urban land extensification is projected to lead to imbalances in the global land-carbon equilibrium
Ryan A. McManamay, Chris R. Vernon, Min Chen, Isaac Thompson, Zarrar Khan & Kanishka B. Narayan DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01231-y Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged Support: Yes, Multisector Dynamics Abstract Human-Earth System Models and Integrated Assessment Models used to explore the land-atmosphere implications of…
Characterizing uncertainty in Community Land Model version 5 hydrological applications in the United States
Hongxiang Yan, Ning Sun, Hisham Eldardiry, Travis B. Thurber, Patrick M. Reed, Keyvan Malek, Rohini Gupta, Daniel Kennedy, Sean C. Swenson, Linying Wang, Dan Li, Chris R. Vernon, Casey D. Burleyson & Jennie S. Rice DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02049-7 Department of Energy, Office of Science, Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling Program Acknowledged…